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Central Bank Research Hub - European Central Bank Working papers



The interday and intraday patterns of the overnight market: evidence from an electronic platform (JEL C22, C32, E43, E58)

by Renaud Beaupain and Alain Durré988
(Dec 2008)

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What explains the spread between the euro overnight rate and the ECB's policy rate? (JEL C22, E43, E52)

by Tobias Linzert and Sandra Schmidt983
(Dec 2008)

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Probability of informed trading on the euro overnight market rate: an update (JEL E52, G14)

by Julien Idier and Stefano Nardelli987
(Dec 2008)

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The daily and policy-relevant liquidity effects (JEL E40, E52)

by Daniel L. Thornton984
(Dec 2008)

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Modelling short-term interest rate spreads in the euro money market (JEL C32, E43, E50, E58, G15)

by Nuno Cassola and Claudio Morana982
(Dec 2008)

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Why the effective price for money exceeds the policy rate in the ECB tenders? (JEL D44, E58)

by Tuomas Välimäki981
(Dec 2008)

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Extracting market expectations from yield curves augmented by money market interest rates: the case of Japan (JEL E43, E52, G12)

by Teppei Nagano and Naohiko Baba980
(Dec 2008)

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Futures contract rates as monetary policy forecasts (JEL E43, E44, E52)

by Giuseppe Ferrero and Andrea Nobili979
(Dec 2008)

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Measuring monetary policy expectations from financial market instruments (JEL E43, E44, E52)

by Michael Joyce978
(Dec 2008)

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Predictions of short-term rates and the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates (JEL E40, E52)

by Massimo Guidolin and Daniel L. Thornton977
(Dec 2008)

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The term structure of interest rates across frequencies (JEL C22, E43)

by Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche and Stefan Gerlach976
(Dec 2008)

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Early estimates of euro area real GDP growth: a bottom up approach from the production side

by Elke Hahn and Frauke Skudelny975
(Dec 2008)

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Do China and oil exporters influence major currency configurations? (JEL E58, F30, F31, F36, G15)

by Marcel Fratzscher and Arnaud Mehl973
(Dec 2008)

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Institutional features of wage bargaining in 23 European countries, the US and Japan (JEL J31, J38, J51, J58)

by Philip Du Caju, Erwan Gautier974
(Dec 2008)

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Responses to monetary policy shocks in the east and the west of Europe: a comparison (JEL C11, C32, C33, E40, E52)

by Marek Jarocinski970
(Nov 2008)

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Monetary policy and housing prices in an estimated DSGE for the US and the euro area (JEL E4, E5, F4)

by Matthieu Darracq Paričs and Alessandro Notarpietro972
(Nov 2008)

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Interactions between private and public sector wages (JEL E24, E62, H50)

by António Afonso and Pedro Gomes971
(Nov 2008)

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Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of assets returns (JEL C11, C53)

by John Geweke and Gianni Amisano969
(Nov 2008)

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What drives U.S. current account fluctuations? (JEL E0, F32, F4)

by Alina Barnett and Roland Straub959
(Nov 2008)

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A value at risk analysis of cedit default swaps (JEL E43, G12, G13)

by Burkhard Raunig and Martin Scheicher968
(Nov 2008)

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Central Bank misperceptions and the role of money in interest rate rules. (JEL E32, E41, E43, E52, E58)

by Guenter W. Beck and Volker Wieland967
(Nov 2008)

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Large Bayesian VARs (JEL C11, C13, C33, C53)

by Marta Banbura966
(Nov 2008)

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IMF lending and geopolitics (JEL F33, H77, O19)

by Julien Reynaud and Julien Vauday965
(Nov 2008)

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Do firms provide wage insurance against shocks? Evidence from Hungary (JEL C33, D21, J33, J41)

by Gábor Kátay964
(Nov 2008)

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Public and private sector wages: co-movement and causality (JEL C32, E62, E63, H50, J30, J51, J52)

by Ana Lamo963
(Nov 2008)

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Optimal monetary policy and the transmission of oil-supply shocks to the euro area under rational expectations (JEL E4, E5, F4)

by Stéphane Adjemian and Matthieu Darracq Paričs962
(Nov 2008)

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Budgetary and external imbalances relationship: a panel data diagnostic (JEL C23, E62, F32, H62)

by António Afonso and Christophe Rault961
(Nov 2008)

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On implications of micro price data for macro models (JEL E3, E5)

by Bartosz Mackowiak and Frank Smets960
(Nov 2008)

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Oil exporters: in search of an external anchor (JEL C30, C51, C61, F31, O24)

by Maurizio Michael Habib and Jan Stráský958
(Nov 2008)

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Modeling autoregressive conditional skewness and kurtosis with multi-quantile CAViaR (JEL C13, C32)

by Halbert White957
(Nov 2008)

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The political economy under monetary union: has the euro made a difference? (JEL F31, F33, G14)

by Marcel Fratzscher and Livio Stracca956
(Nov 2008)

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Monetary policy and stock market boom-bust cycles

by Lawrence Christiano, Cosmin Ilut955
(Oct 2008)

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Fiscal policy responsiveness, persistence and discretion (JEL E62, H50)

by António Afonso954
(Oct 2008)

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Estimating and forecasting the euro area monthly national accounts from a dynamic factor model (JEL C53, E37)

by Elena Angelini953
(Oct 2008)

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Is forecasting with large models informative? Assessing the role of judgement in macro-economic forecasts (JEL C52, E30, E32, E37)

by Ricardo Mestre and Peter McAdam950
(Oct 2008)

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Short-term forecasts of euro area GDP growth (JEL C33, C53, E52)

by Elena Angelini, Gonzalo Camba-Méndez, Domenico Giannone949
(Oct 2008)

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How successful is the G7 in managing exchange rates? (JEL F31, F33, F50, G7)

by Marcel Fratzscher952
(Oct 2008)

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Exchange rate pass-through in the global economy: the role of emerging market economies (JEL F10, F30, F41)

by Matthieu Bussičre and Tuomas A. Peltonen951
(Oct 2008)

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Clustering techniques applied to outlier detection of financial market series using a moving window filtering algorithm (JEL C19, C49, G19)

by Josep Maria Puigvert Gutiérrez and Josep Fortiana Gregori948
(Oct 2008)

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Foreign-currency bonds: currency choice and the role of uncovered and covered interest parity (JEL F31, F36, G14, G15, G32)

by Maurizio Michael Habib and Mark Joy947
(Oct 2008)

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Macroeconomic adjustment to monetary union (JEL E21, F32, F36)

by Gabriel Fagan and Vítor Gaspar946
(Oct 2008)

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Wage and price dynamics in Portugal (JEL C32, C51, E31, J30)

by Carlos Robalo Marques945
(Oct 2008)

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The New Area-Wide Model of the euro area: a micro-founded open-economy model for forecasting and policy analysis (JEL C11, C32, E32, E37)

by Kai Christoffel944
(Oct 2008)

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How does competition affect efficiency and soundness in banking? New empirical evidence (JEL G21, G28, L11)

by Klaus Schaeck and Martin Cihák932
(Oct 2008)

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Channels of international risk-sharing: capital gains versus income flows (JEL F21, F30, F36)

by Thierry Bracke and Martin Schmitz938
(Sep 2008)

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Sparse and stable Markowitz portfolios (JEL C00, G11)

by Joshua Brodie, Ingrid Daubechies, Christine De Mol936
(Sep 2008)

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International stock return comovements

by Geert Bekaert931
(Sep 2008)

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Sticky information Phillips curves: European evidence (JEL D84, E31)

by Jörg Döpke, Jonas Dovern930
(Sep 2008)

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The impact of financial position on investment: an anlysis for non-financial corporations in the euro area. (JEL C33, E22, G32, J23)

by Carmen Martinez-Carrascal and Annalisa Ferrando943
(Sep 2008)

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An application of index numbers theory to interest rates (JEL C43, E43)

by Javier Huerga and Lucia Steklacova939
(Sep 2008)

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Towards a monetary policy evaluation framework (JEL E4, E5, F4)

by Stéphane Adjemian942
(Sep 2008)

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Euro's influence upon trade: Rose effect versus border effect (JEL F10, F14, F15)

by Gianluca Cafiso941
(Sep 2008)

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The effect of durable goods and ICT on euro area productivity growth? (JEL E01, E21, E22, J24, O11)

by Jukka Jalava and Ilja Kristian Kavonius940
(Sep 2008)

 Full text

Fiscal policies, the current account and Ricardian equivalence (JEL E62, F32, F41)

by Christiane Nickel and Isabel Vansteenkiste935
(Sep 2008)

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Bank mergers and lending relationships (JEL G21, G34)

by Judit Montoriol-Garriga934
(Sep 2008)

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Import price dynamics in major advanced economies and heterogeneity in exchange rate pass-through (JEL E31, F3, F41)

by Stéphane Dées933
(Sep 2008)

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Real convergence in Central and Eastern European EU Member States: which role for exchange rate volatility? (JEL F3, F4, F5)

by Olga Arratibel929
(Sep 2008)

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Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillane in Europe? (JEL C53, E6, H6)

by Diego J. Pedregal and Javier J. Pérez937
(Sep 2008)

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Modelling and Forecasting the Yield Curve under Model uncertainty (JEL C5, E4, G1)

by Paola Donati and Francesco Donati917
(Aug 2008)

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Resuscitating the wage channel in models with unemployment fluctuations (JEL E24, E31, E32, J64)

by Kai Christoffel and Keith Kuester923
(Aug 2008)

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Corporate tax competition and the decline of public investment

by Pedro Gomes and Francois Pouget928
(Aug 2008)

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Euro area money demand and international portfolio allocation: a contribution to assessing risks to price stability

by Roberto A. De Santis926
(Aug 2008)

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Monetary stabilisation in a currency union of small open economies

by Marcelo Sánchez927
(Aug 2008)

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Flow on conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity (JEL C22, C53, E17)

by Katja Drechsel and Laurent Maurin925
(Aug 2008)

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Government spending volatility and the size of nations (JEL E62, H10)

by Davide Furceri and Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro924
(Aug 2008)

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An investigation on the effect of real exchange rate movements on OECD bilateral exports (JEL D73, F10, F32)

by Antoine Berthou920
(Jul 2008)

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A review of nonfundamentalness and identification in structural VAR models (JEL C32, C51, C52)

by Lucia Alessi922
(Jul 2008)

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Foreign direct investment and environmental taxes (JEL F12, F18, F23)

by Roberto A. De Santis and Frank Stähler921
(Jul 2008)

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Fiscal policy in real time (JEL C23, E30, E62, H30, H60)

by Jacopo Cimadomo919
(Jul 2008)

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Imports and profitability in the euro area manufacturing sector: the role of emerging market economies (JEL C23, F12, L11, L13)

by Tuomas A. Peltonen, Martin Skala918
(Jul 2008)

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Optimal reserve composition in the presence of sudden stops: the euro and the dollar as safe haven currencies (JEL F31, F32, F33, G11)

by Roland Beck and Ebrahim Rahbari916
(Jul 2008)

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Globalisation and the euro area: simulation based analysis using the New Area Wide Model. (JEL E32, E62)

by Roland Straub and Pascal Jacquinot907
(Jun 2008)

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How has CDO market pricing changed during the turmoil? Evidence from CDS index tranches (JEL E43, G12, G13)

by Martin Scheicher910
(Jun 2008)

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Medium run redux: technical change, factor shares and frictions in the euro area

by Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman915
(Jun 2008)

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Evolution and sources of manufacturing productivity growth: evidence from a panel of European countries

by Silvia Giannangeli and Ramón Gómez-Salvador914
(Jun 2008)

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Country and industry equity risk premia in the euro area: an intertemporal approach

by Lorenzo Cappiello913
(Jun 2008)

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Labour cost and employment across euro area countries and sectors

by Beatrice Pierluigi and Moreno Roma912
(Jun 2008)

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Global liquidity glut or global savings glut? A structural VAR approach

by Thierry Bracke and Michael Fidora911
(Jun 2008)

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Repo markets, counterparty risk and the 2007/2008 liquidity crisis

by Christian Ewerhart and Jens Tapking909
(Jun 2008)

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3-step analysis of public finances sustainability: the case of the European Union

by António Afonso and Christophe Rault908
(Jun 2008)

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The impact of the euro on equity markets: a country and sector decomposition

by Lorenzo Cappiello906
(Jun 2008)

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A persistence-weighted measure of core inflation in the euro area

by Laurent Bilke and Livio Stracca905
(Jun 2008)

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Does money matter in the IS curve? The case of the UK

by Barry E. Jones and Livio Stracca904
(Jun 2008)

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Forecasting inflation and tracking monetary policy in the euro area: does national information help? (JEL C25, E37, E52)

by Fabrizio Venditti900
(Jun 2008)

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A robust criterion for determining the number of static factors in approximate factor models. (JEL C52)

by Lucia Alessi903
(May 2008)

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On the empirical evidence of the intertemporal current account model for the euro area countries (JEL D91, F36, F41)

by Michele Ca' Zorzi and Michal Rubaszek895
(May 2008)

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The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production: perspective from large panel factor models (JEL C3, C53, E37)

by Matthieu Darracq Paričs and Laurent Maurin894
(May 2008)

 Full text

Sticky wages: evidence from quarterly microeconomic data

by Thomas Heckel893
(May 2008)

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Fiscal consolidation in the euro area: long-run benefits and short-run costs. (JEL E32, E62)

by Günter Coenen902
(May 2008)

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The usefulness of infra-annual government cash budgetary data for fiscal forecasting in the euro area (JEL C53, E6, H6)

by Luca Onorante, Diego J. Pedregal901
(May 2008)

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Robust monetary rules under unstructured and structured model uncertainty (JEL E37, E52, E58)

by Paul Levine899
(May 2008)

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Central Bank communication and monetary policy: a survey of theory and evidence (JEL E52, E58)

by Alan S. Blinder, Michael Ehrmann, Jakob de Haan898
(May 2008)

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DSGE-Modelling: when agents are imperfectly informed (JEL E10, E32)

by Paul De Grauwe897
(May 2008)

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The Maastricht Convergence Criteria and Optimal Monetary Policy for the EMU Accession Countries.

by Anna Lipinska896
(May 2008)

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Credit and the natural rate of interest.

by Fiorella De Fiore and Oreste Tristani889
(Apr 2008)

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House Prices and the stance of Monetary Policy. (JEL E3, E4)

by Marek Jarocinski and Frank Smets891
(Apr 2008)

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House